The European financial crisis has sent shockwaves through the global economy and has a number of ramifications for the international trading sector, especially sourcing product from China via ecommerce platforms. However, like in all things, there is a silver lining for many companies, particularly from the US, who can take advantage of the situation.

Back in March of this year I somewhat hesitantly predicted that there would be no significant movement in the value of the Chinese currency (RMB) as against its major trading currencies like the US dollar and the Euro in the short term. This is still a hot topic of discussion and contention for many international and Chinese clients of my company, www.dhgate.com, as it has a direct impact on the costs of sourcing products from China.

Currently, the Chinese RMB is informally ‘pegged’ to the US dollar at a rate of about 6.8 and this undervaluation was arguably causing trade imbalances between the US and China. The argument goes something like this: while it was good for US importers and Chinese exporters to have the RMB at an artificially low level, at the same time it made products imported from the US into China artificially high thereby hurting US companies

In the past few months it was thought that there was a consensus amongst Chinese policy makers that the peg would be broken and the Chinese RMB would be allowed to gradually rise about 3-5% thereby cushioning the impact on the Chinese export sector. This, of course, was on the basis that the world economy was steadily recovering from the Financial Crisis and there were no other major financial crises in the world.

Well what a difference a couple of months makes!

The dramatic European debt crisis as a result of the Greek bailout and the plunging value of the Euro has meant that any plans for a slight rise in the RMB as against the US dollar are now on hold…again.

The Euro has plunged to its lowest level against the RMB in almost a decade. It has fallen 14.5% in the past 4 months alone and the future is uncertain. The dramatic slump has prompted Chinese authorities to publically warn that China’s exports to Europe are threatened. Indeed, there are a number of anecdotal reports from clients of my company that European importers are cancelling or significantly reducing product orders. This appears to be by virtue of an inability of European companies to obtain normal trade finance because of the severity of the debt crisis together with heavily reduced purchasing power of the Euro.

A number of Chinese domestic economic issues also cloud the picture. The Chinese Stock Exchange has fallen sharply in recent times. This is mainly due to the Chinese government’s attempt to restrict the availability of credit in order to prevent the real estate property bubble from bursting.

All of these factors mean that there will be no short term revaluation of the RMB as against the US dollar. There are important trade and economic bilateral talks next week between the US and China and it appears that the revaluation issue, always a perennial topic in these trade talks, has been taken off the table. The US Government has recently stated that it intends to press China on other trade issues like market access for US companies and increasing the value of US exports to China. The US has announced that it wants to double US exports to China over the next decade.

What does all this mean for US SME importers of Chinese products? I believe that the situation presents great opportunities as the prices of Chinese products available for export will remain low for the foreseeable future and there appears now to be no likelihood of major costs increases as a result of exchange rate issues. From my discussions with my Chinese manufacturing clients, there is now a lot of opportunity to lock in these prices for the future.

More importantly, because of the problems in the European import market, many Chinese suppliers and manufacturers will now shift their focus to other markets, particularly the US. This means that there is the ability to achieve much lower prices from Chinese exporters because of the excess product available. It maybe that there has never been a better time for US SME companies to commence or increase sourcing product from China.

The European financial crisis has sent shockwaves through the global economy and has a number of ramifications for the international trading sector, especially souring product from China via ecommerce platforms. However, like in all things, there is a silver lining for many companies, particularly from the US, who can take advantage of the situation.

Back in March of this year I somewhat hesitantly predicted that there would be no significant movement in the value of the Chinese currency (RMB) as against its major trading currencies like the US dollar and the Euro in the short term. This is still a hot topic of discussion and contention for many international and Chinese clients of my company, www.dhgate.com, as it has a direct impact on the costs of sourcing products from China.

Currently, the Chinese RMB is informally ‘pegged’ to the US dollar at a rate of about 6.8 and this undervaluation was arguably causing trade imbalances between the US and China. The argument goes something like this: while it was good for US importers and Chinese exporters to have the RMB at an artificially low level, at the same time it made products imported from the US into China artificially high thereby hurting US companies

In the past few months it was thought that there was a consensus amongst Chinese policy makers that the peg would be broken and the Chinese RMB would be allowed to gradually rise about 3-5% thereby cushioning the impact on the Chinese export sector. This, of course, was on the basis that the world economy was steadily recovering from the Financial Crisis and there were no other major financial crises in the world.

Well what a difference a couple of months makes!

The dramatic European debt crisis as a result of the Greek bailout and the plunging value of the Euro has meant that any plans for a slight rise in the RMB as against the US dollar are now on hold…again.

The Euro has plunged to its lowest level against the RMB in almost a decade. It has fallen 14.5% in the past 4 months alone and the future is uncertain. The dramatic slump has prompted Chinese authorities to publically warn that China’s exports to Europe are threatened. Indeed, there are a number of anecdotal reports from clients of my company that European importers are cancelling or significantly reducing product orders. This appears to be by virtue of an inability of European companies to obtain normal trade finance because of the severity of the debt crisis together with heavily reduced purchasing power of the Euro.

A number of Chinese domestic economic issues also cloud the picture. The Chinese Stock Exchange has fallen sharply in recent times. This is mainly due to the Chinese government’s attempt to restrict the availability of credit in order to prevent the real estate property bubble from bursting.

All of these factors mean that there will be no short term revaluation of the RMB as against the US dollar. There are important trade and economic bilateral talks next week between the US and China and it appears that the revaluation issue, always a perennial topic in these trade talks, has been taken off the table. The US Government has recently stated that it intends to press China on other trade issues like market access for US companies and increasing the value of US exports to China. The US has announced that it wants to double US exports to China over the next decade.

What does all this mean for US SME importers of Chinese products? I believe that the situation presents great opportunities as the prices of Chinese products available for export will remain low for the foreseeable future and there appears now to be no likelihood of major costs increases as a result of exchange rate issues. From my discussions with my Chinese manufacturing clients, there is now a lot of opportunity to lock in these prices for the future.

More importantly, because of the problems in the European import market, many Chinese suppliers and manufacturers will now shift their focus to other markets, particularly the US. This means that there is the ability to achieve much lower prices from Chinese exporters because of the excess product available. It maybe that there has never been a better time for US SME companies to commence or increase sourcing product from China.